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[personal profile] tilmon
Last year this time, I knew Trump would win.

There was precedent for how the media was acting, precedent that told me that the cultural elite was once again out of touch with the mainstream, once again underestimating the appeal of a candidate who spoke in simple terms, once again over-exposing that candidate for the sake of ratings. That precedent was George W. Bush, and 16 years ago, his entry onto the world stage was a lot like Trump's.

I supported Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary initially only on the principal of challenging Hillary Clinton's coronation as nominee, and then increasingly hopeful that he might be the nominee, or at least selected as her running mate. Those were the only circumstances underwhich I could envision the Democratic ticket winning.

But, no, media and the DNC went out of their way to make sure Hillary got the nomination. Now, I'm not saying that she isn't qualified, that she can't do the job. But it was apparent way back in 2008 that she couldn't be elected president. If anything, the US has become more reactionary in the 8 years of Obama's presidency, so I don't know why she thought she could do it this time around. Yes, I supported her after she was nominated, and I allowed myself to become hopeful, but I didn't really think she could pull it off. However, her base was unable to even consider for a moment that she wouldn't win. And I mean, yeah, people I know, who I spoke with, who looked at me uncomprehendlingly, much like a dog looks at algebra.

I'm not writing all this in order to gloat. I'm writing it because, even now, it's unlikely that the Democratic Party has learned any lessons. And I'm positive the media will forget inside of 2 weeks. But remembering is the only way to avoid repeating this mistake.

And here's the ugly truth. Gay rights, women's rights, human rights of all sorts, even the very Constitution and the Gospels are meaningless to angry people who feel betrayed. Those people will lash out at every scapegoat. Telling them not to attack scapegoats while failing to address their very real economic concerns and loss of pride can only ever result in not only continuing to ignore their problems, it also does nothing to protect the scapegoats.

So, what now? Now that we are saddled with a man who has openly revealed his authoritarianism? God help me if I know. If I was Hillary Clinton, I'd be moving to Canada, since he made her Scapegoat #1. As for the rest of us? I'm not sure. We're in uncharted waters, and the country has a hole in its ship of state.


(Oh, look, I'm not alone in my analysis)

Date: 2016-11-09 05:05 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tbscreenrider.livejournal.com
Your Analysis was interesting to read. I was shocked this morning when I heard the news, but I also didn´t take it for granted that Clinton would win the race.
I watched all the TV-Duells Clinton/Trump and I always asked myselt how could a man like Trump even be a nominee for president - he is absolutely unfit - in knowledge as well as in personality.
Not that I like Clinton much -a nd she was already at the end of her power when she was secretary of state. But still...

I am very curious what will happen when Trump will be president from sometime in January on - but I fear not much good will come from it. God save America - and the rest of the world.
Ehm...and where are you moving to now????

Date: 2016-11-09 08:32 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tilmon.livejournal.com
I wish there was some place that would be safe from what he will do, but despite any walls he might build, the world is interconnected more than ever. If Trump has an itch, everyone will be scratched.

I'm so upset that even dorama can't soothe me. I wonder what will happen to the disabled people I know, and folks on Social Security. People will die if he implements his vague and scary plans, and I don't think his fanclub understand that or cares.

Date: 2016-11-10 06:19 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tbscreenrider.livejournal.com
Yes, I can imagine that you are upset. Since I was working long hours yesterday I had not had much chance to watch TV in the evening, but German Tv as as NHK World very intensely discussed what Trump victory will mean to the world as well as to America. Many Americans they interviewed were scared that they now might loose the health insurance that President Obama installed (I never understood in the first place why there was such resistence against a health insurance before Obama forced it through).
If Trump really goes with his plan to cut taxes especially for the big companies AND starts a massive investment programme - America will soon be bankrupt. Massive investing and cutting taxes at the same time never worked in the past. The USA will just accumulate their debt. I doubt he really had a plan.
Foreign politicians also have an uneasy feeling because NOBODY knows Trump or even the people that he consults. So nobody knows what to expect.
Gay people of course are also not happy. Harrasment might be on th rise again. Trump prepared the ground for that.

Still love your snow - and by the way - we had our first snow two days ago - unusually early this year. right now it´s below freezing point.

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